Buildings protect occupants from outdoor environments and weather, ensuring their safety and comfort. However, as climate change accelerates, buildings face growing challenges from rising temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns, and increasingly frequent extreme weather events. Because most buildings constructed today will remain in use for 50 years or more, they will inevitably encounter these climate-related challenges. Despite this, many current design practices still rely solely on historical climate records that describe the past rather than the future. This results in a growing disconnect between the conditions anticipated in design and the realities that buildings will ultimately be exposed to. A building may fully meet today’s standards, but as climate conditions shift, it could become less resilient and more vulnerable to climate risks.
Climate Change and Buildings
Already, the climate we experience today is unlike that of just a few decades ago, and the future climate will be even more unfamiliar. Extreme heat, flooding, and wildfires are no longer distant threats; they are actively reshaping the built environment in Canada. For example, rising temperatures have placed unprecedented demands on Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems, resulting in costly retrofits and repairs. Insufficient cooling capacity in older buildings, which were not originally designed for cooling, has left occupants vulnerable to overheating. Meanwhile, wildfires and extreme weather events have compromised both indoor air quality and the structural safety of buildings. As warming continues, so too does the risk of reduced performance, costly retrofits, and climate-related damages.
To ensure buildings remain safe, functional and resilient throughout their lifespans, building designers must consider a range of future scenarios. Incorporating future climate data early in the design process allows buildings to better withstand gradual shifts in average conditions as well as the increasing frequency of extreme events. The National Building Code of Canada (NBC) acknowledges this necessity, stating that “many buildings will need to be designed, maintained, and operated to adequately withstand ever-changing climatic loads.” Reflecting this need, the 2025 NBC incorporates future climatic design values for the first time. These values account for projected changes in heat, cold, wind, snow, and rainfall, rather than relying solely on historical observations. Their inclusion marks a significant step toward supporting the resilient building design.